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Given a number of address points in a given area, what multiplier would you use for calculating estimated population? I have seen 2.5 in a few places, but I was wondering what the generally accepted multiplier would be.

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I think the US census atlas provides this kind of information (if you're looking for US data that is) –  dassouki Jan 19 '11 at 19:47
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up vote 5 down vote accepted

Usually, you can get "average household size" for an area (or at least comparable area) from statistics agencies. I'd suggest using that.

It really depends on which part of the world we are talking about.

http://factfinder.census.gov/servlet/SAFFFacts suggests a value of 2.59 for the U.S.

This would be an acceptable value if it's save to assume that most addresses are homes (and not offices, ...).

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Even within the US there is substantial variation in the mean number of persons per household (and even more variation in persons per address). Data are readily available in most developed countries.

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This histogram of 1999 data (as supplied by ESRI, using Census Bureau data) shows that the county average varies by more than a factor of 2. As you might expect, ratios are low in rural counties: of the seven values less than 2.0, five are in North Dakota. The high ratios are not necessarily from urban counties, though: those tend to come from just a few states in the south and west (GA, CO, TX, UT).

Block, block group, and Census tract averages will vary more than these county averages.

If you can tolerate estimates that might be off by a factor of 2 (or more) within county-wide areas, you could adopt a universal average somewhere near 3. With only a tiny bit of research, though, you can get data down to the block level (for free) and obtain much more accurate estimates. In the US these are published in tables P1 and P15 of the SF1 Census 2000 data.

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